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Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers look to keep their dominant winning streak alive when they host Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in Sunday night’s divisional round game of the NFL playoffs.
San Francisco, the No. 2 seed in the NFC, hasn’t lost a game since Purdy, the No. 3 QB on the roster, took over the offense. Overall, the team has won 11 straight, while the Cowboys already have one playoff win on the road, ending Tom Brady’s season with a convincing 31-14 victory in Tampa.
The latest Cowboys vs. 49ers odds at NFL betting sites give San Francisco just a slight advantage plus home-court advantage of four points, and the sportsbook’s total Over/Under is 46 points.
Bookies.com NFL Handicap Adam Thompson – focused on making over 60% of his NFL picks for the fourth consecutive season – reveals his picks and props for the crucial rematch.
Cowboys vs. 49ers Pick the point spread
When it comes to the 49ers, there’s not much to pick on. Obviously, Brock Purdy has exceeded expectations, but the running back, receivers and defense are top shelf. If Purdy keeps up what he’s doing, San Francisco will be in the Super Bowl.
But the Cowboys’ offense, when it’s humming, rivals the Chiefs and Bills. Counting the season finale against Washington and the last 10 games Dak Prescott has started, Dallas is averaging 35.8 points per game.
Only two offenses put up 30 on the Niners, the Chiefs and Raiders have similar lineups. The number is key; jump on cowboys at +4.
Cowboys vs. 49ers Over/Under
The 49ers’ defense may be the best in the league, but San Francisco’s passing game is regularly overmatched. He has won four in a row and six of seven overall, and five in a row at home. Dallas’ three straight games have been undershot, but that’s due to a defense that has allowed 17.6 points per game in those games.
Dallas is unlikely to allow 14 points or less for the third time in four weeks. The Niners have given up 23 to Seattle, 34 to Vegas and 20 to Washington in three of their last four. The Cowboys are the best version of all of these. This is the lowest result of the week, but it should not be. Back the Over on Sunday night.
Cowboys vs. 49ers Moneyline Pick
The host 49ers are -195 on the moneyline, while Dallas is +165. These were two of my favorite teams to support this season, and unfortunately I like them both again here.
That’s why the spread is so attractive, but it also makes the money line smaller. Dallas is for what it’s worth, but facing a team with an 11-game home winning streak is a risk. However, if you’re going to pick a side, getting the Cowboys at that price is not a big deal.
The best props for Cowboys vs. 49ers
Dak Prescott, over 250.5 yards passing
Odds: -110 at BetMGM
Prescott has gained at least 256 yards in all but two games since Week 1. Sure, the 49ers defense is good overall, but it ranks a very suspect 27th in yards allowed by wide receivers.
Dallas lives for big plays, and San Fran has ranked 30th in yards per attempt over the past three weeks. Look for Prescott to build on last week’s 305-yard, four-TD performance.
Brock Pardee, under 241.5 passing yards
Odds: -110 at Caesars
Purdy has only eclipsed that total twice in his six starts, and it’s not a good matchup for him. The Cowboys are 6th in the NFL in fewest yards allowed by tight ends and 8th in receiving yards to running backs — and just one combined TD between the two positions.
That appears to limit the output of George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey, who averaged 7.5 receptions and 86.5 yards in Purdy’s six starts.
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Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers Odds, Picks and Predictions
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